Assessment of changes of agro-climatic conditions for cultivation of millet in the southern regions of Ukraine resulted from climate change

  • N.V. Danilova
Keywords: millet, climate change, air temperature, precipitation, moisture availability

Abstract

The signals of global warming are now being observed throughout the world. Data of hydrometeorological centres show a significant increase of temperature in many regions accompanied by intense frequency of dry periods. Some substantial and direct effects of climate change may be already noticed at present time. Over the next several decades they will be observed in agriculture. Increase of temperature and reduction of precipitation volumes will probably lead to decrease the level of yield. These changes can significantly affect the global food security. Ukraine is known for its fertile soil and agricultural products, so it has a huge agricultural potential, contributing, in fact, to the global food security. However, the observed weather changes, increase of average temperature and uneven distribution of rainfalls can result in sharp transformation of most of agricultural and climatic zones of Ukraine. According to international processes there is an urgent need for improvement of adaptation to climate change of some branches of national economy of Ukraine, including of agriculture.

Expanding the range of types of millet used in agricultural production is an economically feasible process that should be implemented in view of significant climate changes resulting in global warming which is widely discussed in scientific literature. Rapid introduction in crop shifts of the millet that is able to withstand recurring periodic droughts, especially in the southern regions, is one of the ways allowing to overcome the consequences of such extreme conditions.

Conditions of the southern regions are favourable for millet crop. Millet is one of the most drought-resistant and heat-resistant crops that can sustain heat injuries and seizures and this is very important for arid areas during dry years, when other crops significantly reduce the level of yield.

We studied changes of agro-climatic resources and agro-climatic conditions for formation of millet productivity for various periods of time. The analysis of climate change trend was performed through comparing of data as per climatic scenarios A2 and A1B and of average long-term characteristics of climatic and agro-climatic indicators. The comparative description of millet productivity under the conditions of climate change as per average long-term data (1986-2005) and as per scenarios A2 and A1B of climate change (2011-2030 and 2031-2050) was also performed.

References

1. Adamenko T.I., Kul'bida M.I., Prokopenko A.L. (Eds). Ahroklimatychnyy dovidnyk po terytorii' Ukrai'ny [An agroclimatic reference book for territories of Ukraine]. Kamyanets-Podilsk, 2011. 107 p.

2. Zinchenko O.I., Salatenko V.N, Bilonozhko M.A. Roslynnytstvo [Crop]. Kiev: Agricultural education, 2001. 291 p.

3. Ivani Zhuzhanna. Pidvyshchennya stiykosti do zminy klimatu sil's'kohospodars'koho sektoru Pivdnya Ukrayiny [Increased resistance to climate change agricultural sector of the South Ukraine]. Sentendre, Hungary, October, 2015, pр. 5-7.

4. Korzun O.S., Anokhina T.A., Kadyrov R.M., Kravtsov S.V. Vozdelyvanie prosovidnykh kyl'tur v Respublike Belarus' [The cultivation of millet crops in the Republic of Belarus]. Grodno: GGAU, 2011, p. 6.

5. Pol'ovyy A.M. Otsinka vplyvu zmin klimatu na zminy ahroklimatychnykh resursiv Luhans'koho rehionu, umovy rostu ta produktyvnist' sil's'kohospodars'kykh kul'tur i pryrodnoyi roslynnosti. Rekomendatsiyi shchodo adaptatsiyi do tsykh zmin [Assessing the impact of climate change on changes in agroclimatic resources of Lugansk region, the conditions of growth and productivity of crops and natural vegetation. Recommendation to adapt to these changes]. Odessa, 2012. 7 p.

6. Prosvirkina A.G. Agrometeorologicheskie usloviya i produktivnost' prosa [Agrometeorological conditions and productivity of millet]. Leningrad: Gidrometeoizdat, 1987, рp 15-23.

7. Stepanenko S.M., Pol'ovyy A.M., Demianiuk O.S., Dronova O.O. Zminy rezhymu opadiv v Ukrayini [Changes in the precipitation regime in Ukraine]. Kiev, 2014. 10 p.

8. Strizhova F.M., Tsareva L.E., Titov Yu.N. Rastenievodstvo [Crop]. Barnaul: ASAU Publ., 2008. 79-87 p.
Published
2016-07-04
How to Cite
Danilova, N. (2016). Assessment of changes of agro-climatic conditions for cultivation of millet in the southern regions of Ukraine resulted from climate change. Ukrainian Hydrometeorological Journal, (17), 93-101. https://doi.org/10.31481/uhmj.17.2016.11